Comments on: Year in Prediction Markets http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/ My opinions only. I do not represent any organization in this publication. Sun, 12 Feb 2012 03:56:40 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Housing (Ad) Bubble « Mike Linksvayer http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/#comment-108702 Housing (Ad) Bubble « Mike Linksvayer Fri, 23 Dec 2011 03:40:59 +0000 http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/#comment-108702 [...] price Hedgelets are still very thinly traded and only go out six months, a slight improvement over one quarter as of the beginning of this year. (Another complaint about HedgeStreet and to a lesser extent [...] [...] price Hedgelets are still very thinly traded and only go out six months, a slight improvement over one quarter as of the beginning of this year. (Another complaint about HedgeStreet and to a lesser extent [...]

]]> By: Harnessing The Collective Mind « Nova Spivack – Minding the Planet http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/#comment-100610 Harnessing The Collective Mind « Nova Spivack – Minding the Planet Sun, 17 Jan 2010 20:27:27 +0000 http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/#comment-100610 [...] This prediction markets portal also has collected interesting links on the topic. Here is an informative blog post about recent prediction market attempts. Here is a scathing critique of some prediction [...] [...] This prediction markets portal also has collected interesting links on the topic. Here is an informative blog post about recent prediction market attempts. Here is a scathing critique of some prediction [...]

]]> By: Mike Linksvayer » Blog Archive » Google Futures http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/#comment-3346 Mike Linksvayer » Blog Archive » Google Futures Thu, 22 Sep 2005 18:59:07 +0000 http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/#comment-3346 [...] On the subject of punditry, i.e., predictions made without consequence for the predictor, Art Hutchinson has claimed over the past several months that use of internal prediction markets is on the upswing. I said so in January. :-) [...] [...] On the subject of punditry, i.e., predictions made without consequence for the predictor, Art Hutchinson has claimed over the past several months that use of internal prediction markets is on the upswing. I said so in January. :-) [...]

]]> By: Chris. F. Masse http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/#comment-1016 Chris. F. Masse Mon, 17 Jan 2005 13:30:14 +0000 http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/#comment-1016 Thanks for your interesting RSS tip. cfm Thanks for your interesting RSS tip.
cfm

]]> By: Mike Linksvayer http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/#comment-1012 Mike Linksvayer Sun, 16 Jan 2005 23:17:47 +0000 http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/#comment-1012 If you can run php scripts on your webserver you (or a friend who barely knows php) could generate a feed in the manner I described above using <a href="http://usefulinc.com/rss/rsswriter/">RSSWriter</a>. I read that Luskin is saying that you picked his page, not the other way round, though I suppose any time one links to a page one "picks" the page. If you can run php scripts on your webserver you (or a friend who barely knows php) could generate a feed in the manner I described above using RSSWriter.

I read that Luskin is saying that you picked his page, not the other way round, though I suppose any time one links to a page one “picks” the page.

]]> By: Chris. F. Masse http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/#comment-1011 Chris. F. Masse Sun, 16 Jan 2005 22:02:04 +0000 http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/#comment-1011 Thanks for your tip. I use NVu (.com) and yes I just copy the files to my web server. Hey, here's a link I found: Content feeds with RSS 2.0 http://www-106.ibm.com/developerworks/xml/library/x-rss20/ By the way, neocon Donald Luskin has picked my webpage: http://poorandstupid.com/2005_01_09_chronArchive.asp#110580948147886197 Ciao, Chris. Thanks for your tip.

I use NVu (.com) and yes I just copy the files to my web server.

Hey, here’s a link I found:
Content feeds with RSS 2.0
http://www-106.ibm.com/developerworks/xml/library/x-rss20/

By the way, neocon Donald Luskin has picked my webpage:
http://poorandstupid.com/2005_01_09_chronArchive.asp#110580948147886197

Ciao,
Chris.

]]> By: Mike Linksvayer http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/#comment-1008 Mike Linksvayer Sun, 16 Jan 2005 18:39:39 +0000 http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/#comment-1008 Bonjour Chris, Sure, if there has to be a single litmus test I agree the US presidential election is it. How you go about setting up a site feed is entirely dependent upon the software used to manage your site. Are you using any sort of "Content Management System" or are you simply copying HTML files to your server? If you're using CMS/blog software, it probably supports RSS out of the box. Just figure out how to turn it on. If not you need to adopt such software or write a custom script that generates a feed based on file modification timestamps or similar. Bonjour Chris,

Sure, if there has to be a single litmus test I agree the US presidential election is it.

How you go about setting up a site feed is entirely dependent upon the software used to manage your site. Are you using any sort of “Content Management System” or are you simply copying HTML files to your server? If you’re using CMS/blog software, it probably supports RSS out of the box. Just figure out how to turn it on. If not you need to adopt such software or write a custom script that generates a feed based on file modification timestamps or similar.

]]> By: Chris. F. Masse http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/#comment-965 Chris. F. Masse Sat, 15 Jan 2005 11:05:35 +0000 http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/#comment-965 Hello Mike, #1. The US presidential election is the litmus test of any prediction exchange, and of the whole prediction markets field, in my view. 20 million bucks at stake, plus dozens more of free publicity in the Press (mostly by incompetent stenographers who republish PR releases, but this is another story). #2. That's what I've just wrote to Chris Hibbert (the zMarket guy), I really need to install the RSS stuff. It's such a mutant technology. I was not able to find a page that could explain it to an amateurish webmaster like me in "simple" terms. Can you think of any link of interest? Thanks for all the readers that you brought to my page. Who needs the search engines anymore now that we have the blogosphere? Hello Mike,

#1. The US presidential election is the litmus test of any prediction exchange, and of the whole prediction markets field, in my view. 20 million bucks at stake, plus dozens more of free publicity in the Press (mostly by incompetent stenographers who republish PR releases, but this is another story).

#2. That’s what I’ve just wrote to Chris Hibbert (the zMarket guy), I really need to install the RSS stuff. It’s such a mutant technology. I was not able to find a page that could explain it to an amateurish webmaster like me in “simple” terms. Can you think of any link of interest?

Thanks for all the readers that you brought to my page. Who needs the search engines anymore now that we have the blogosphere?

]]> By: Mike Linksvayer http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/#comment-904 Mike Linksvayer Mon, 10 Jan 2005 20:44:03 +0000 http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/#comment-904 Chris, apologies for misreading you as a Bush fanboy. I certainly agree that getting predictions right deserves praise. But the U.S. presidential election winner is only one prediction. Would be interesting to compare various markets' track records across multiple predictions. If you have a RSS feed for updates to your site please point it out. Happy new half decade! Chris, apologies for misreading you as a Bush fanboy. I certainly agree that getting predictions right deserves praise. But the U.S. presidential election winner is only one prediction. Would be interesting to compare various markets’ track records across multiple predictions.

If you have a RSS feed for updates to your site please point it out.

Happy new half decade!

]]> By: Chris. F. Masse http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/#comment-899 Chris. F. Masse Sun, 09 Jan 2005 17:55:24 +0000 http://gondwanaland.com/mlog/2005/01/08/year-in-prediction-markets/#comment-899 Thanks for your very smart comments. I've linked back to your webpage, so my readers can complement their reading. I'm an independent, a bit libertarian, thus leaning to the right, but I've high respect for some liberals, some progressives, and my favorite politician was Bob Graham (retired D-Fl.). So Tanenbaum is OK. What I want to do is bashing people who got their predictions wrong, and praising those who got it right. If you're in the prediction field, there should be accountability. Now, am I the fairest judge? The idea was to spark a debate... I'll link back to all the comments I'll be aware of. Happy new year to all your readers. CFM from the F country PS: Google alerted me only today about about the zMarket. Funny I intended to devote a great part of my website to open source application software regarding prediction markets, so you bet I'm interested!!! Thanks for your very smart comments. I’ve linked back to your webpage, so my readers can complement their reading. I’m an independent, a bit libertarian, thus leaning to the right, but I’ve high respect for some liberals, some progressives, and my favorite politician was Bob Graham (retired D-Fl.). So Tanenbaum is OK. What I want to do is bashing people who got their predictions wrong, and praising those who got it right. If you’re in the prediction field, there should be accountability. Now, am I the fairest judge? The idea was to spark a debate… I’ll link back to all the comments I’ll be aware of. Happy new year to all your readers.
CFM
from the F country
PS: Google alerted me only today about about the zMarket. Funny I intended to devote a great part of my website to open source application software regarding prediction markets, so you bet I’m interested!!!

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